DATA-DRIVEN • RULES-BASED • AI-ASSISTED

DATA-DRIVEN • RULES-BASED • AI-ASSISTED

A Smarter Approach to 0DTE SPX Trading

A Smarter Approach to 0DTE SPX Trading

A Smarter Approach to 0DTE SPX Trading

Theta Group provides structured SPX trade alerts built around the Adaptive Trade Portfolio (ATP) Framework — a four-structure, rules-based options portfolio developed through 10 years of historical testing and ongoing quantitative research. The current framework combines predefined entry times, moving-average alignment, structure-specific pre-entry filters, adaptive TICK-based position sizing, and minimal trade management.

Theta Group provides structured SPX trade alerts built around the Adaptive Trade Portfolio (ATP) Framework — a four-structure, rules-based options portfolio developed through 10 years of historical testing and ongoing quantitative research. The current framework combines predefined entry times, moving-average alignment, structure-specific pre-entry filters, adaptive TICK-based position sizing, and minimal trade management.

Theta Group provides structured SPX trade alerts built around the Adaptive Trade Portfolio (ATP) Framework — a four-structure, rules-based options portfolio developed through 10 years of historical testing and ongoing quantitative research. The current framework combines predefined entry times, moving-average alignment, structure-specific pre-entry filters, adaptive TICK-based position sizing, and minimal trade management.

10 Years

Historical Backtesting • Aug 2016 – Jul 2026

2,325

Backtested Trades • Current Filtered Stack

+$280,049

Total Backtested P/L

-$3,594

Maximum Historical Drawdown

One Framework. Two Overlapping Strategies.

One Framework. Two Overlapping Strategies.

ATP is built from four trade structures, but the framework can be understood as two overlapping strategy pivots. The first is directional: bullish PCS vs bearish PDS. The second is volatility-based: Short Iron Condor for consolidation vs Inverse Iron Condor for expansion. Each side has predefined conditions that determine whether the structure is eligible to trade.

ATP is built from four trade structures, but the framework can be understood as two overlapping strategy pivots. The first is directional: bullish PCS vs bearish PDS. The second is volatility-based: Short Iron Condor for consolidation vs Inverse Iron Condor for expansion. Each side has predefined conditions that determine whether the structure is eligible to trade.

DIRECTIONAL PIVOT
Bullish PCS vs Bearish PDS

Directional trades are evaluated at 10:00 CST and must align with the correct side of the 100 SMA on the 10-minute SPX chart. PCS: bullish directional exposure. PDS: bearish directional exposure. Additional layer: TICK-based filtering and adaptive sizing.

NEUTRAL / VOLATILITY PIVOT
Short Iron Condor vs Inverse Iron Condor

These structures address two different non-directional environments. Short IC: neutral consolidation. Inverse IC: neutral expansion / volatility expansion. Each structure has its own entry conditions, timing, and pre-entry filters.

The goal is not to predict every market move. It is to shift systematically between complementary structures when predefined conditions are met.

The goal is not to predict every market move. It is to shift systematically between complementary structures when predefined conditions are met.

Four Structures. Four Different Market Environments.

ATP does not rely on one option structure to work in every environment. Each trade has a specific role within the portfolio.

PCS — Put Credit Spread

Bullish Directional • Entry: 10:00 CST. SPX must be above the 100 SMA on the 10-minute chart. TICK-based adaptive sizing is used. Take-profit buyback target at 0.20; if still open, close at 2:45 CST.

PDS — Put Debit Spread

Bearish Directional • Entry: 10:00 CST. SPX must be below the 100 SMA on the 10-minute chart. TICK-based adaptive sizing is used. Take-profit sell target at 9.80 per lot.

Short Iron Condor

Credit Structure • Neutral Consolidation • Entry: 12:00 CST. Uses structure-specific eligibility rules and pre-entry filters with an upside skew. Take-profit buyback target at 0.20; if still open, close at 2:45 CST.

Inverse Iron Condor

Debit Structure • Neutral Expansion • Entry: 8:30 CST at the market open. Uses a slight upside skew, structure-specific eligibility rules, and pre-entry filters. Take-profit sell target at 9.80 per lot.

Defined Times. Less Waiting. Less Guessing.

The current ATP framework was intentionally simplified around scheduled decision points rather than trigger-based breakout monitoring. Trades are only taken when required conditions are met; if a structure is filtered out, members are notified that there is no trade.

8:30 CST

Inverse Iron Condor

10:00 CST

PCS

10:00 CST

PDS

12:00 CST

Short Iron Condor

2:45 CST

Close remaining PCS + Short IC

The Edge Starts Before Entry

Each ATP structure has predefined pre-entry filters. The goal is simple: avoid historical conditions that produced weaker expectancy or contributed disproportionately to drawdown.

Pre-Entry Filters

Most filters are based on previous-session SPX price action. The Short Iron Condor also evaluates SPX price behavior during the hour before entry. The current filtered portfolio contains 2,325 trades versus 2,968 in the original time-based sample: 643 trades removed, approximately 22% of the original sample.

Position Size Can Adapt Too

PCS and PDS use the NYSE TICK Index as a market-breadth input. The weakest directional quartile is filtered out; the middle two quartiles use standard position size; and the strongest bullish or bearish quartile receives double size. Members are notified when a directional trade is skipped or increased.

Designed for Minimal Trade Management

Credit trades use a take-profit buyback at 0.20. Debit trades use a take-profit sell target at 9.80 per lot. PCS and Short Iron Condor positions that remain open are closed at 2:45 CST. Outside these predefined exits, the process requires very little intraday management.

The Portfolio Matters More Than Any One Trade

ATP is evaluated as a combined four-structure portfolio. Research considers total P/L, maximum drawdown, trade overlap, and performance across market environments. A change that helps one structure does not automatically improve the portfolio as a whole.

10 Years of Historical Research

Aug 2016 – Jul 2026 • 2,325 current backtested trades • +$280,049 total backtested P/L • +$28,005 average annual P/L • -$3,594 maximum historical drawdown. Historical SPX price data, Option Omega results, TICK data, and AI-assisted analysis support ongoing research; AI does not predict markets or make discretionary decisions.

Predefined Conditions

Each structure has defined eligibility rules rather than discretionary selection. The framework is not designed to trade every day; knowing when not to trade is part of the process.

AI-Assisted Research

AI is used to identify and compare historical patterns, filters, trade construction, and portfolio behavior. It does not predict the market or make discretionary trade decisions.

Portfolio-Level Evaluation

Research evaluates how the four structures interact across P/L, maximum drawdown, trade overlap, and different market environments.

The goal is not to maximize every individual strategy. The goal is to improve the portfolio as a whole.

The goal is not to maximize every individual strategy. The goal is to improve the portfolio as a whole.

A Clear Process Delivered Through Discord

A Clear Process Delivered Through Discord

Trade Alerts — Clear entries, structures, strikes, and instructions.

No-Trade Alerts — Members are told when a setup is filtered out.

Adaptive Sizing Alerts — PCS and PDS specify when double size is used.

Market Outlook — Context around structures that may be in play.

Trade Management Updates — Predefined take-profit and closing instructions.

Ongoing Research — Continued testing and refinement of ATP.

Performance Tracking — Historical and ongoing framework analysis.

Private Discord Community — Alerts, updates, education, and discussion.

A Framework Built Around Process

A Framework Built Around Process

The Adaptive Trade Portfolio is not designed around predicting the next SPX move. It is designed around four complementary structures, two overlapping strategy pivots, defined entry times, pre-entry filters, moving-average alignment, adaptive directional sizing, minimal trade management, and portfolio-level risk analysis. Same market. A more systematic process.

The Adaptive Trade Portfolio is not designed around predicting the next SPX move. It is designed around four complementary structures, two overlapping strategy pivots, defined entry times, pre-entry filters, moving-average alignment, adaptive directional sizing, minimal trade management, and portfolio-level risk analysis. Same market. A more systematic process.

Trading options involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Historical and backtested results are presented for informational and educational purposes only and do not guarantee future performance. Backtests involve assumptions and may differ from live results due to liquidity, fills, slippage, commissions, execution, and changing market conditions.